Showing posts with label 3News-Reid Research poll. Show all posts
Showing posts with label 3News-Reid Research poll. Show all posts

More poll misery for Labour and Mr Cunliffe

After the difficulties David Cunliffe had last week, a number of pundits suggested that pressure might come on him if the next round of TV polls hurt Labour.

It has. The 3News/Reid Research poll has just come out, and it shows both Labour's and Mr Cunliffe's popularity slipping. Labour is down 2 points to 27.3%, and National (down 0.6% to 49.7%) has a commanding lead. The Greens have gained where Labour lost, and NZ First is still some distance from the 5% thresh-hold. The Internet Mana alliance will need to win an electorate if it is to figure, polling a mere 1.8%.

And in the Preferred Prime Minister stakes, the news is no better for Mr Cunliffe. John Key is up 3.1 points to 46.7%, whereas David Cunliffe remains stranded in single figures, down 0.2 points to 9.6% support.

National's polling is remarkably, given that they are a party nearing the end of their second term in government, whereas Labour's support is basically where it was at the 2011 General Election. And that, of course, was Labour's worst election result in some 70 years.  But in 2011, Labour was still almost in a position to form a government; it wouldn't have taken much of a swing to enable that to happen.

In the meantime, National heads into its election-year conference in Wellington tomorrow in bouyant mood, and why wouldn't they? We're sure that the party faithful will get plenty of warnings not to be complacent, and it is imperative that the party faithful take those warnings on board. 

Labour's upcoming conference, on the other hand, will be a little more subdued, after a series of dreadful poll results. Patrick Gower said on 3News tonight that "This poll is all about Labour wounded, and scared".  Given the current dysfunctional state of the Labour Party, a new record low on 20th September is a distinct possibility.


UPDATE: Here are the poll graphics from the 3News website:

 

Oh dear

There have been three political polls out this week. And they all tell the same story; support for National is rising, and support for Labour is falling.

Colmar Brunton helpfully sums up the One News poll in one graphic, which saves bloggers lots of typing; here 'tis:


And the 3News/Reid Research poll was almost identical showing National up 4.4 points to 50.3%, Labour down 1.7 to 29.5% and the Greens down 1 point to 10.2%. The only major difference is that 3News has Winston First surviving (just), but One News bids him farewell, at 4.8% support; the figures on the infographic are rounded.

These poll results, coming on top of a Roy Morgan poll on Thursday which had National ahead of the Labour/Green bloc again, will be terribly disheartening for Labour. It's also clear that all the energy expended on Judith Collins hasn't made any difference.

Things will be tense in Labour's War Room tomorrow as the party gears up for the last week of the current session of Parliament. Time is short, and the gap between the parties is as wide as it has been for some time.
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